Overall Green Tropical Cyclone alert for ENRIQUE-21 in Mexico from 25 Jun 2021 09:00 UTC to 28 Jun 2021 15:00 UTC

GDACS is a cooperation framework between the United Nations, the European Commission and disaster managers worldwide to improve alerts, information exchange and coordination in the first phase after major sudden-onset disasters.

Overall Green alert Tropical Cyclone for ENRIQUE-21

in Mexico

Meteorological source:

GDACS NOAA

Impact Single TC

Impact based on all weather systems in the area

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ENRIQUE-21 can have a low humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source	GDACS
Exposed countries	Mexico
Exposed population	No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed	148 km/h
Maximum storm surge	0.2 m (30 Jun 15:00 UTC)
Vulnerability	Medium (Mexico)
Landfall	between 30 Jun 2021 12:00 - 01 Jul 2021 00:00 in Mexico

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.

	Wind	Storm surge	Rainfall	GDACS score
Current	139 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Overall	148 km/h	0.2 m	n.a.	0.5
Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

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Wind

139 km/h Current Max.

Up to no people in Category 1 strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Max Winds (km/h)	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Population in Cat 1. or higher	Countries
1	25 Jun 2021 09:00	139	20 thousand	No people	Mexico
2	25 Jun 2021 15:00	157	440 thousand	No people	Mexico
3	25 Jun 2021 21:00	157	80 thousand	No people	Mexico
4	26 Jun 2021 03:00	176	290 thousand	No people	Mexico
5	26 Jun 2021 09:00	176	450 thousand	No people	Mexico
6	26 Jun 2021 15:00	176	650 thousand	No people	Mexico
7	26 Jun 2021 21:00	148	570 thousand	No people	Mexico
8	27 Jun 2021 03:00	148	360 thousand	No people	Mexico
9	27 Jun 2021 09:00	157	400 thousand	No people	Mexico
10	27 Jun 2021 15:00	157	870 thousand	No people	Mexico
11	27 Jun 2021 21:00	148	1.5 million	No people	Mexico
12	28 Jun 2021 03:00	148	1.5 million	No people	Mexico
13	28 Jun 2021 09:00	148	1.5 million	No people	Mexico
14	28 Jun 2021 15:00	139	1.5 million	No people	Mexico

Bulletin Timeline

N°	Date (UTC)	Category (SSHS)	Max winds (km/h)	Population in Cat.1 or higher	Population in Tropical Storm or higher	Location (lat, lon)	Countries
1	25 Jun 2021 09:00	Tropical storm	65	no people	no people	15, -101.7
2	25 Jun 2021 15:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	no people	15.6, -102.5
3	25 Jun 2021 21:00	Tropical storm	83	no people	no people	15.9, -103.3
4	26 Jun 2021 03:00	Tropical storm	102	no people	no people	16.3, -104.1
5	26 Jun 2021 09:00	Category 1	120	no people	<1000 people	16.7, -104.7
6	26 Jun 2021 15:00	Category 1	139	no people	460000 people	17.1, -105.3
7	26 Jun 2021 21:00	Category 1	139	no people	260000 people	17.3, -105.9
8	27 Jun 2021 03:00	Category 1	139	no people	28000 people	17.3, -105.9
9	27 Jun 2021 09:00	Category 1	148	no people	89000 people	17.6, -106
10	27 Jun 2021 15:00	Category 1	148	no people	300000 people	18.2, -105.9
11	27 Jun 2021 21:00	Category 1	148	no people	850000 people	19, -105.7
12	28 Jun 2021 03:00	Category 1	148	no people	650000 people	19.6, -106
13	28 Jun 2021 09:00	Category 1	148	no people	540000 people	20, -106.3
14	28 Jun 2021 15:00	Category 1	139	no people	41000 people	20.4, -106.7
14	29 Jun 2021 00:00	Category 1	130	no people	6400 people	20.9, -107.2
14	29 Jun 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	111	no people	no people	21.4, -107.7
14	30 Jun 2021 00:00	Tropical storm	93	no people	290000 people	22.2, -108.4
14	30 Jun 2021 12:00	Tropical storm	74	no people	560000 people	23, -109.3
14	01 Jul 2021 00:00	Tropical depression	56	no people	no people	23.8, -110	Mexico
14	01 Jul 2021 12:00	Tropical depression	46	no people	no people	24.5, -110.8	Mexico
14	02 Jul 2021 12:00	Tropical depression	37	no people	no people	25.3, -112	Mexico

Actual track of the current bulletin

The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.

Download:

Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

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Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

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StormSurge

0.2 m

The maximum Storm surge height is 0.2m in El Cardoncito, Mexico. This height is estimated for 30 Jun 2021 15:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (67 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 14 of 28 Jun 2021 15:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert	Date (UTC)	Name	Country	Storm surge height (m)
	30 Jun 2021 15:00	El Cardoncito	Mexico	0.2
	30 Jun 2021 15:00	La Fortuna	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2021 07:00	Datilito	Mexico	0.2
	01 Jul 2021 10:00	San Juan de la Costa	Mexico	0.2
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Lagarto	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Santa Maria Xandani	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Costa Rica	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Union Hidalgo	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Chicapa	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	San Dionisio del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	San Francisco del Mar	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	San Jose del Cabo	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 18:00	La Ribera	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 18:00	Punta Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 21:00	Cuitzmala	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 09:00	Ipala	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 15:00	Los Tesos	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	La Puerta	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2021 06:00	La Paz	Mexico	0.1
	01 Jul 2021 07:00	Rosario	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 23:00	Chamela	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 02:00	Chola	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 09:00	Corrales	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 09:00	Aquiles Serdan	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	El Tule	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 21:00	Las Palmas	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	El Castillo	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	Las Arenitas	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	Altata	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Cachimba	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 15:00	Los Frailes	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	San Lucas	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 16:00	Punta Arena	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 11:00	La Boca	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 22:00	La Trinadad	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Las Pinas	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Playa Azul	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Melchor Ocampo	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Joluta	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Lagunillas	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Barrio Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Zihuatanejo	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Maruata	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Las Trojitas	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Calla de Campos	Mexico	0.1
	25 Jun 2021 23:00	Chula	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 21:00	La Manzanilla	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 21:00	Barra de Navidad	Mexico	0.1
	27 Jun 2021 21:00	Estrecho	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 00:00	Pesqueria	Mexico	0.1
	28 Jun 2021 09:00	Pizota	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	La Tinaja	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	Pozo de Cota	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	Perihuete	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	Dimas	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 11:00	La Palmita	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	Caimanero	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	Jarilla	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 11:00	Isla de Palmito del Verde	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 21:00	Ensenada de los Muertos	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 00:00	Tierra Colorada	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	Huajapan	Mexico	0.1
	26 Jun 2021 01:00	El Roble	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 23:00	La Ventana	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 11:00	Santa Cruz	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 11:00	El Nuevo	Mexico	0.1
	30 Jun 2021 12:00	Cuamecate	Mexico	0.1

Disclaimer
While we try everything to ensure accuracy, this information is purely indicative and should not be used for any decision making without alternate sources of information.
The JRC is not responsible for any damage or loss resulting from the use of the information presented on this website.
The designations employed and the presentation of material on the map do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the European Union concerning the legal status of any country, territory or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries.